The Curve Grows Back

There is always a slowest tap.

Pull it, and the title just moves one handle over. The beer that was second slowest yesterday wakes up this morning as the problem, and nothing about it changed. Same keg, same pour, same handle, now wearing a dunce cap it never tried on.

Every revenue report eventually makes you the same offer. A fifth of the names are paying for most of the lights. Keep those, let the rest drift, and enjoy how much lighter the boat feels. (Spreadsheets always sound so calm. That’s how they get you.)

The trouble is that the shape lives in the list, and the list comes with you. Cut the bottom 80 percent and the survivors are an 80/20 of their own the moment the cut is made, a fifth of them paying for most of what’s left and the rest suddenly looking a lot like drag. Cut again and you’re down to four percent of where you started, still lopsided, the curve growing back like a hedge that takes every haircut as a suggestion.

Follow the plan all the way down and you end up with one customer.

That isn’t a business. It’s a job with a worse boss. One logo sets your prices, bends your roadmap, and knows to the dollar how much you need it.

I’ve been on the wrong end of the trim. At a company I worked for, two vendors courted us for months. Then the executive who owned the budget went on leave, the conversations went quiet, and somewhere a rep read the quiet as a no. Both marked us closed lost, right before a new VP walked in with budget and appetite. Neither came back. On their list we were the 80… we were about to be somebody’s 20.

The bottom of a list is a seat. Somebody is always sitting in it. Some are on the way up, some are on the way out, and the ranking can’t tell you which, because a ranking only knows where everyone stood on the day you printed it.

So cut for behavior, never for rank. The customer who treats your team like a vending machine has earned the door at any size, and showing that one out actually changes the room. Show the small one out and you’ve only handed the small title to whoever’s next in line.

Then give the bottom of the list a job. Part of it is your future 20, still growing into its budget. Part of it tells you what the market is doing, since your biggest accounts mostly tell you about themselves. Part of it is ballast, and a lighter boat is also an easier one to tip. If the 80 feels like drag, it’s usually being served on a model built for the 20: the same meetings, the same handholding, the same price of attention. That’s a packaging problem wearing a customer’s face.

The same math runs through a team, where it gets expensive. Rank a great crew and somebody is still last. Cut them, and the new last one spends every shift waiting to be next, and the guests can feel it from across the bar.

80/20 is always 80/20. You never get to delete the shape, only furnish it. There will always be a slowest tap, a smallest account, somebody at the end of the bench… and everyone else is watching how you treat whoever’s sitting there.

Stay Positive & Pour One Out For The Slow One

The Recipe Doesn’t Know Your Oven

Cold butter. 375. Twelve minutes. Follow that and you get cookies, most days.

Understand it and you can save the batch when the oven runs hot, when the flour is old, when six more people show up.

Following scales. Understanding adapts.

Playbooks get handed down as orders. Run the sequence. Post on Tuesday. Nobody says why, so when the ground shifts the team executes perfectly into a wall.

Give them the why and you’ve given them a choice.

Stay Positive & Understanding Is Choice (That Reads In Both Directions)

Nobody Finds A Moving Target

Somebody asks for a beer we don’t carry, and then somebody else asks, and the answer is the same one we gave the week we opened.

Before we opened I wrote a fear down on a piece of paper: people won’t come back to us. That one came true. It keeps coming true. Most of it is on purpose, which is a strange sentence to have to make peace with.

The temptation, when a position costs you somebody, is to explain it. Walk them through the sourcing, the rotation, the reason that beer sits where it sits and not on our wall. You can spend a whole night doing this. It feels like generosity and it works like a hearing…

Notice what explaining does to the thing you just said. It turns it into a proposal. A position you defend is a position you have agreed to put up for a vote, and now the other person is the judge, and now you are standing there waiting on a verdict you never needed.

“I disagree” is a complete sentence. You can set it down on the bar and go wipe something.

No case, no evidence, no follow-up email. Some people hear that as rude, because we’ve all been trained to believe a position owes the room a receipt.

The ones who belong with you are not in that argument. Most of them are not even here yet. They are a year out, two years out, working somewhere that sands them down a little every Tuesday, and the only way they ever find you is by triangulating on a signal that has not moved. Consistency isn’t a virtue thing. It’s a findability thing.

Every flip resets their search or merely makes them miss out entirely (or worse, find a competitor who is saying a similar thing to you – consistenlty)

This gets worse inside a company than outside one. A team cannot stand next to something that moves. Say the strategy in March, soften it in May because a loud person sighed, and by July nobody will repeat it out loud with their own name attached, because repeating it is how you end up holding a thing the building already set down. You didn’t lose an argument. You taught the room not to carry anything.

Brands do the same flip in public and call it a refresh. New category language every two quarters, a new enemy every fall, each version perfectly defensible on its own. Together they train the exact buyer you wanted to stop memorizing what you are, because what you are has a shelf life now and they’ve learned to wait for the next one.

(None of this is a case for being stubborn about something you got wrong. Changing your mind because of new information is a completely different physical act than changing your answer because somebody in the room sighed.)

The cost is real and it arrives first. You lose people, and some of them tell other people, and that all happens early. The ones who came for exactly the thing you refused to change show up late, quietly, already sure.

They were never going to be argued in. They were looking for something that stayed put long enough to be found.

Stay Positive & Still Not Carrying It…

Load The Front Wheel

The first time somebody told me the front brake does most of the stopping on a motorcycle, I rode an entire session not believing them. It sounds like a setup. The wheel that steers you is also the wheel you’re supposed to stand on when you want to slow down, and the back one, the big dumb reliable one, mostly just goes along.

But it’s true, and the reason it’s true is the good part. When you squeeze that front lever, the fork compresses and the whole mass of the bike and everything you ate that morning shifts forward onto a patch of rubber roughly the size of a credit card. That patch spreads out like a palm pressed against glass (or… like my daughters face on the sliding glass door to our deck…).

More rubber touching the road means more grip. More grip means you can brake harder. Which shifts more weight forward. Which gives you more grip.

The traction is not sitting there waiting for you. You manufacture it by asking for it. Forcing it, really.

Which means the whole thing runs backwards from how it feels. A bike with nothing loading the front end is not relaxed, it’s vague. It wanders. It floats into corners with a kind of polite uncertainty and you spend the entire turn wishing you had committed to something a quarter mile ago…

So the load is not the cost of the speed. The load is where the grip comes from.

I think about that every time somebody wants to launch something into a soft room. A friendly beta. Four customers who already like us. A pilot with no exit clause and no consequence, running quietly in a corner of the business where nobody’s compensation depends on the answer. It feels responsible. It is actually a coast. Nothing is pressing on the front wheel, so nothing tells you what the surface is made of.

The market is the brake. Positioning does not get sharp in a doc. It gets sharp the first time a buyer with real money looks at your sentence and says, politely, that this is not a thing they were planning to solve this year. That resistance is not the setback before the traction. It is the traction. (I have written plenty of messaging that never had to survive a no, and it read beautifully, and it did nothing. Others might think it’s my best work. I think it’s my worst.)

Same goes with people. Give somebody a project with nothing on the line and you’ve given them a hallway. Give them something early enough that being wrong is survivable, and watch how fast their judgment gets good. That’s the whole sequence. You put weight on your team, on purpose, before it’s comfortable, and they put weight on the customer, and the customer eventually puts weight on you.

Now the part that will hurt you.

You squeeze the front brake. You do not grab it.

Grab it mid-corner, or on gravel, or cold, and the front washes out and you are on the ground before your brain has finished forming an opinion about it. I’ve been down (different mistake, and the pavement did not grade my reasoning any more kindly for it). The load has to go on progressively, over a beat, while you’re still moving forward. Front-loading is not dumping. It’s pressure applied with your fingers, not your fist.

Which is why the skill isn’t courage. It’s knowing what’s under your tire before you ask it for everything.

A tire standing still is just rubber. It only becomes a tire when something asks it to stop.

Stay Positive & Squeeze

You Own The Clock

A keg blows in the middle of a pour. Foam, a cough of air, then nothing. The guy waiting on that beer has a table, a friend, and a plan for the next forty minutes, and not one piece of it knows what just happened on my side of the taps. My night reorganizes itself in about nine seconds. His doesn’t move at all.

Two clocks, same room, both correct.

A lot of what grinds people down is the quiet decision to run on the wrong one. So here is the list. No story underneath it, no metaphor to unpack.

If you’re tired, sleep.

If you’re hungry, eat.

If you’re in the flow, keep writing.

If you miss someone, reach out.

If the draft is useful, publish it.

If you already know the answer, stop researching.

If someone did good work, tell them today.

Their schedule is not your schedule.

If the meeting made its point, end it.

If you’re bored writing it, they’re bored reading it.

If the beer’s flat, dump it.

If you don’t know why you’re in the room, leave the room.

If the campaign is dead, kill it.

If a customer tells you what they want, listen to the second thing they say.

If you owe an apology, pay it now.

If you’re grieving, grieve.

Stay Positive & Their Schedule Is Not Your Schedule…It Never Was

Nobody Roots For A Topic

An electric motorcycle went past me on a county road, made almost no sound, and I had no feelings about it at all.

Which is strange, because I have every qualification for caring. I love motorcycles. I love the craft of them, the stubbornness of the people who build them, the way a good one is a hundred arguments settled in metal. Anything with two wheels gets my attention at a stoplight. Electric ones got a nod and nothing more.

Then I bought stock in LiveWire.

Suddenly I was reading range specs at night. I had opinions about charging infrastructure in states I have never ridden through. (Nobody asked for those opinions, and yet.) The bikes had not changed. The engineering did not improve between Tuesday and Thursday. I had simply acquired the ability to be wrong about them.

That is the part I keep turning over. It was not ownership, and it was not really the money. It was that the subject now had a scoreboard and I was standing on one side of it. Before, electric motorcycles were a topic. A topic is something you hold opinions about the way you hold a menu. After, they were a position, and a position stares back.

Love of the craft did not do it. Proximity did not do it. Years of riding did not do it. It took something I could lose.

So when we ask what our people have at stake, we go to the wallet first, and when the wallet does not explain it we reach for the next familiar thing… a promotion, a title, the jump to the bigger role. All of that describes what somebody wants. Wanting is not stake. Wanting is still the menu.

Stake is having a side. It is having said a thing out loud that the next ninety days will either confirm or embarrass.

Most jobs are excellent at handing out responsibility and terrible at handing out exposure. You own the launch. Nobody will ever publicly establish whether you were right. The number lands, the quarter closes, the deck gets replaced by a newer deck, and your judgment goes unscored. That is not safety. That is the menu again, printed on nicer paper.

The work of leading is not discovering what each person secretly loves. It is making sure each person has something on the table with their name on it, early enough that being wrong survivable, and visible enough that being right counts for something.

It is the same reason a champion is not a customer who likes you. A champion is a customer who said, in a room with their boss in it, that this would work. They have a side now. That is why they answer your email in February when nothing is on fire.

Somebody asked me in an interview recently what I actually want out of work, and what came out was that I want something I am excited to tell my girls about at the end of the day. I said it like it was a reward. It is not. It is an audience… it means there is a table where I could show up with nothing to say, and they would notice. That’s stake in the work.

Stay Positive & Don’t Hate The Topic, Find Your Stake

Targeting Next Sprint

“Continued alignment on scope. Targeting next sprint.”

I wrote that before. Then I wrote it again six weeks later, and again after that, and if you lined up the dates you would watch a calendar year go by in three sentences that each sound like progress and none of which are.

In product they teach you to think about capacity as a layer cake. Every release has a bottom layer of tech debt, then bugs, then whatever the loudest customer was promised, then new ideas, and somewhere up top, thin as a coat of frosting, the meaningful improvement the whole thing supposedly exists for. The cake is honest in a way a roadmap is not. It doesn’t ask what you want to build. It shows you where the flour went.

My tech debt layer is status updates.

Not the work. The reporting on the work. The sheet, the rollup, the pre-read for the readout. It grows every time somebody upstream feels underinformed, and it can never be cut, because cutting it looks like you have something to hide. (I have gotten genuinely good at it, which is the part that stings…)

The hours that go into explaining why a thing isn’t built yet come out of the same jar as the hours that would have built it.

So the top layer thins. Then it thins again. And eventually a customer says out loud that they have been waiting years for something we talked about, and they are right, and the strange part is that everyone involved was working the whole time. Nothing was neglected. It was allocated.

A promise left alone doesn’t hold still. It goes stale in public, in front of the person you made it to.

I don’t think anyone above me knows how thick that layer actually is. If they do, it reads as tolerable. No line item, no fire, nobody’s quarter on the hook. A cost with no invoice attached is the easiest cost in the world to keep paying.

I got this wrong for years myself.

I used to draw my life as a wheel. Fitness, family, friends, finance, faith, fun, all the good f-words arranged in a pie with a score out of ten on every spoke, and the goal was to make the circle round. Each of those slices was a thing I was supposed to want more of.

No wheel has ever had a tech debt layer. A life cake does. The dentist appointment moved three times, the email from the school, the friend who needs a phone call you keep not making. It eats capacity and produces nothing you can point at, and the wheel has no vocabulary for it, so you just feel behind without knowing why.

Every life has a VIP customer, too. Not the person you love most. The obligation that pulls capacity out of all proportion because saying no costs more than saying yes. Sometimes it’s family. Sometimes, if you’re honest about a Saturday afternoon, it’s you…

Stop trying to make the top layer thicker. That’s the whole pitch of the balance industry and it has the physics backwards. The frosting is thin because it is sitting on everything else. A cake that’s all frosting slumps sideways on the plate before it reaches the table.

The layer worth fighting for was never the top one. It’s the one underneath, the one that grew while nobody was watching, the one you could cut in half tomorrow if anybody were willing to call it a cost.

Stay Positive & Want A Slice?